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Red28
122521.3
672914.0
272423.6
Blue87
886638.5
493514.3
842937.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5483020401001201402887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+71
Endgame+71
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +61
2Coral scored#10
8Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#7
0Processor points6
0Net points28
0Algae points34
8Total teleop69
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
12Foul points0
28Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.64.1
17.613.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
blue by 14.8
38.50.9
32.733.7
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
Second
21.32.5
16.414.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 15.9
37.20.9
25.726.6
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Third
6729
#20
14.04.1
18.814.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 0.4
4935
#16
14.31.5
14.716.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed