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Red29
350629.9
976213.7
572733.3
Blue39
373727.3
1058317.8
693220.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8163020401001201401602939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+12Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
2Coral scored#1
7Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
11Total teleop5
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#0
0L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points2
29Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#12
33.34.4
26.321.9
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
red by 6.0
27.32.1
22.920.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
Second
3506
#13
29.94.4
32.327.9
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
red by 9.2
6932
#15
20.62.1
13.611.5
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Third
9762
#10
13.72.6
10.07.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 4.1
17.82.1
19.317.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned