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Red58
1058317.8
886638.5
1030415.7
Blue43
672914.0
900830.5
960514.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844602040601001205843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
45Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points12
58Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.1
33.932.8
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
red by 8.0
9008
#14
30.51.3
21.019.7
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End2.6
Second
17.81.9
17.515.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 3.7
9605
#21
14.10.8
11.210.4
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9
Third
15.71.9
17.715.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3
red by 1.8
6729
#20
14.01.3
10.69.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned