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Red94
572733.3
319621.4
872742.9
Blue79
915024.2
122521.3
693220.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824702040601001201409479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
76Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points24
94Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.91.5
31.733.2
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
red by 18.6
9150
#22
24.20.5
21.622.1
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
Second
5727
#12
33.32.5
21.924.3
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
red by 12.0
21.30.5
14.014.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Third
3196
#17
21.42.5
18.320.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
red by 0.8
6932
#15
20.60.9
11.512.4
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed