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Red65
886638.5
960514.1
1024811.3
Blue117
153339.6
493514.3
949671.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6112205010015065117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+30
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
65Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.2
33.733.9
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
blue by 32.8
71.20.8
55.656.4
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
Second
9605
#21
14.10.2
11.011.2
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9
blue by 25.5
39.60.8
33.434.2
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
Third
11.30.4
16.617.0
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
blue by 3.1
4935
#16
14.31.3
16.217.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned