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Red53
1030415.7
976213.7
900830.5
Blue60
1058317.8
272423.6
663926.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53572030407080905360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
23Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
12Foul points0
53Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#14
30.51.6
22.621.0
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End2.6
red by 3.6
26.90.2
17.717.9
Auto4.5
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Second
15.71.6
19.317.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3
blue by 7.9
23.60.3
13.513.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
9762
#10
13.71.0
7.46.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 4.1
17.80.3
17.217.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed