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Red30
319621.4
373727.3
672914.0
Blue128
949671.2
842937.2
350629.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54127010015020030128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+44
Teleop+80
Endgame+92
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +44
0Leave0
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points44
0Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +36
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
26Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#8
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points6
30Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.34.1
20.816.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
blue by 43.9
71.20.3
55.355.6
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
Second
3196
#17
21.44.1
22.418.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
blue by 15.8
37.20.3
26.626.9
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Third
6729
#20
14.04.1
14.710.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 15.9
3506
#13
29.90.5
27.928.4
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned