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Red84
272423.6
842937.2
976213.7
Blue56
915024.2
319621.4
1024811.3
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52700204060801001208456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points3
22Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
8Foul points0
84Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.7
26.928.7
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 13.0
9150
#22
24.20.4
22.121.6
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
Second
23.62.9
13.816.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
red by 2.2
3196
#17
21.40.7
20.720.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
Third
9762
#10
13.71.7
6.48.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 2.4
11.30.7
17.016.3
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed