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Qual 152025 FNC District UNC Asheville Event
Red89
153339.6
350629.9
886638.5
Blue95
122521.3
872742.9
663926.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107662040801001201401608995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
59Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points16
89Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#4
39.60.4
34.2→33.8
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
blue by 3.2
8727
#3
42.90.8
33.2→34.0
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
Second
8866
#6
38.50.4
32.8→32.3
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
red by 11.6
6639
#7
26.90.8
18.6→19.5
Auto4.5
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Third
3506
#13
29.90.7
28.4→27.7
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
red by 8.6
1225
#9
21.30.8
14.5→15.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned