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Red41
976213.7
693220.6
319621.4
Blue84
672914.0
960514.1
842937.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485702040801004184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+47
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
6Coral scored#17
20Coral points61
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
28Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
41Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#17
21.41.1
20.018.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
blue by 15.8
37.21.9
28.730.5
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Second
6932
#15
20.61.1
13.612.5
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
red by 6.5
9605
#21
14.11.9
10.412.3
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9
Third
9762
#10
13.70.7
8.17.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 0.3
6729
#20
14.03.1
9.312.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed