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Red119
842937.2
872742.9
915024.2
Blue37
493514.3
1058317.8
976213.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10040020608012014016011937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
64Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
30Foul points0
119Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.1
35.735.8
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
red by 25.1
17.81.0
16.715.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Second
37.20.1
30.530.6
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 22.9
4935
#16
14.31.0
21.620.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Third
9150
#22
24.20.1
21.321.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
red by 10.6
9762
#10
13.70.6
7.56.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed