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Qual 232025 FNC District UNC Asheville Event
Red38
350629.9
1030415.7
319621.4
Blue73
572733.3
886638.5
1024811.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86952040601201401603873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+39
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
28Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
38Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#13
29.93.8
33.0→29.1
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
blue by 8.6
8866
#6
38.50.5
32.0→31.6
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
Second
3196
#17
21.43.8
21.7→17.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
blue by 11.9
5727
#12
33.30.8
32.1→31.3
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
Third
10304
#18
15.73.8
17.8→13.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3
red by 4.5
10248
#19
11.30.8
15.9→15.1
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed