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Red131
842937.2
663926.9
693220.6
Blue54
493514.3
122521.3
1058317.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81560204010012014013154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +47
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points40
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
18Processor points0
12Net points8
30Algae points8
95Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
131Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.23.5
30.634.1
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 15.9
21.30.7
16.315.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Second
26.93.5
21.124.6
Auto4.5
Teleop20.0
End2.4
red by 9.1
17.81.1
15.714.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
6932
#15
20.65.8
15.721.5
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
red by 6.3
4935
#16
14.31.1
20.619.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed