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Qual 252025 FNC District UNC Asheville Event
Red79
872742.9
672914.0
976213.7
Blue76
272423.6
373727.3
900830.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61882040801001201407976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points27
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
69Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
79Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#3
42.91.3
35.8→37.1
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
red by 12.4
9008
#14
30.50.1
23.9→23.9
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End2.6
Second
6729
#20
14.02.1
11.9→14.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 13.3
3737
#8
27.30.1
23.8→23.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
Third
9762
#10
13.71.3
6.9→8.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 10.0
2724
#5
23.60.1
22.9→22.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned