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Red130
1058317.8
949671.2
960514.1
Blue84
915024.2
153339.6
663926.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039140608012014016018013084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
77Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
130Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.22.3
61.563.8
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
red by 31.6
39.60.0
37.337.3
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
Second
17.83.5
14.618.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 9.1
26.90.0
24.624.7
Auto4.5
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Third
9605
#21
14.12.3
13.816.0
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9
blue by 10.1
9150
#22
24.20.0
21.421.5
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed