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Qual 272025 FNC District UNC Asheville Event
Red108
872742.9
976213.7
886638.5
Blue37
493514.3
373727.3
1024811.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87650204010012014016010837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+67Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +57
16Coral scored#5
58Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
84Total teleop27
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points0
108Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#3
42.91.7
37.1→38.8
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
red by 15.6
3737
#8
27.32.2
23.8→21.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
Second
8866
#6
38.51.7
31.6→33.2
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
red by 24.1
4935
#16
14.32.2
19.5→17.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Third
9762
#10
13.71.7
8.2→9.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 2.4
10248
#19
11.32.2
15.1→12.9
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed