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Qual 322025 FNC District UNC Asheville Event
Red54
960514.1
122521.3
319621.4
Blue104
872742.9
272423.6
1030415.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6494020408012014016054104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +43
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
38Total teleop81
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
54Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#17
21.40.9
21.3→20.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
blue by 21.4
8727
#3
42.91.1
38.8→39.9
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
Second
1225
#9
21.30.6
17.5→16.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 2.3
2724
#5
23.61.6
26.2→27.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
9605
#21
14.10.6
16.2→15.6
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9
blue by 1.6
10304
#18
15.71.6
13.5→15.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed