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Red133
886638.5
842937.2
373727.3
Blue96
900830.5
153339.6
693220.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10499608012014016013396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+33Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points1
16Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +27
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
97Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#5
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
133Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.7
33.234.9
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
blue by 1.2
39.60.1
37.037.1
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
Second
37.21.7
35.937.6
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 6.8
9008
#14
30.50.1
26.826.9
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End2.6
Third
27.32.4
21.523.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
red by 6.7
6932
#15
20.60.1
21.822.0
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned