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Qual 352025 FNC District UNC Asheville Event
Red96
373727.3
1058317.8
872742.9
Blue183
886638.5
122521.3
949671.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821365010015020096183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+71
Endgame+69
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +53
11Coral scored#24
38Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
68Total teleop121
Reef
4L4#13
5L3#6
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#36
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points18
96Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#3
42.90.4
39.9→40.4
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
blue by 28.4
9496
#1
71.22.4
67.7→70.2
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
Second
3737
#8
27.30.6
23.9→24.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
blue by 11.2
8866
#6
38.52.4
34.9→37.3
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
Third
10583
#11
17.80.6
17.6→18.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 3.5
1225
#9
21.32.4
16.9→19.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned