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Red80
373727.3
1030415.7
915024.2
Blue88
272423.6
493514.3
350629.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70850501001502008088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+16
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
1Coral points6
10Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
56Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
80Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.6
24.525.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
blue by 2.6
3506
#13
29.90.1
31.030.9
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
Second
9150
#22
24.20.5
23.323.7
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
red by 0.6
23.60.1
26.526.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
15.70.6
13.313.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3
red by 1.4
4935
#16
14.30.1
16.216.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed