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Red146
976213.7
949671.2
122521.3
Blue114
319621.4
900830.5
886638.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12091406080100140160180200146114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
101Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#6
9L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
8Foul points0
146Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.21.8
70.271.9
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
red by 32.8
38.51.4
37.338.8
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
Second
21.31.8
19.321.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 9.2
9008
#14
30.51.7
26.227.9
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End2.6
Third
9762
#10
13.71.8
13.915.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 7.8
3196
#17
21.41.7
20.722.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed