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Red98
872742.9
842937.2
493514.3
Blue85
350629.9
272423.6
976213.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114690501001509885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+19Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
16Coral scored#14
59Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
73Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
98Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.2
43.743.6
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
red by 13.0
3506
#13
29.90.2
29.729.9
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
Second
37.20.2
38.138.0
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 13.6
23.60.2
23.523.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
4935
#16
14.30.2
15.215.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
red by 0.7
9762
#10
13.70.2
13.513.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7