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Red130
949671.2
1024811.3
886638.5
Blue77
153339.6
572733.3
1058317.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132925015020025013077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +55
16Coral scored#9
59Coral points32
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
12Processor points0
24Net points8
36Algae points8
95Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
130Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.3
70.370.6
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
red by 31.6
39.60.3
39.739.4
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
Second
38.50.3
37.637.9
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
red by 5.1
5727
#12
33.30.3
33.533.1
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
Third
11.30.3
10.410.7
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
blue by 6.5
17.80.3
17.917.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1