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Red117
872742.9
842937.2
493514.3
Blue69
122521.3
693220.6
672914.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135905010015011769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+60Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
90Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
117Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.2
43.643.8
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
red by 21.6
21.30.0
21.721.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Second
37.20.2
37.938.2
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 16.6
6932
#15
20.60.0
21.021.0
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Third
4935
#16
14.30.2
15.015.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
red by 0.4
6729
#20
14.00.0
14.314.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End1.1