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Red96
153339.6
572733.3
1058317.8
Blue89
373727.3
915024.2
960514.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101650501509689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
54Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points14
96Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.0
39.539.5
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
red by 12.3
27.30.3
25.826.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
Second
5727
#12
33.30.0
33.233.2
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
red by 9.1
9150
#22
24.20.3
22.723.0
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
Third
17.80.0
17.717.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 3.7
9605
#21
14.10.3
12.612.9
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9