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Red0
99920.0
99910.0
99930.0
Blue1
350629.9
272423.6
976213.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5087010015020001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points1
0Total score1

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9991
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
blue by 29.9
3506
#13
29.91.6
31.329.7
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
Second
9992
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
blue by 23.6
23.61.6
25.123.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
9993
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
blue by 13.7
9762
#10
13.71.6
15.113.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7