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Red47
122521.3
693220.6
672914.0
Blue101
373727.3
915024.2
960514.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677505010015047101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +49
5Coral scored#15
18Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
26Total teleop75
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points6
47Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.4
21.721.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 6.0
27.30.6
26.126.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
Second
6932
#15
20.60.4
21.020.6
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 3.6
9150
#22
24.20.6
23.023.6
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
Third
6729
#20
14.00.4
14.314.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 0.2
9605
#21
14.10.6
12.913.5
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9