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Red130
949671.2
1024811.3
886638.5
Blue89
1030415.7
900830.5
663926.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135755010015020025013089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+43Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
111Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#5
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
130Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.3
70.170.3
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
red by 40.7
9008
#14
30.50.4
30.430.7
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End2.6
Second
38.50.3
37.337.6
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
red by 11.6
26.90.4
26.827.2
Auto4.5
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Third
11.30.3
10.110.4
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
blue by 4.5
15.70.4
15.415.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3