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Red95
872742.9
842937.2
493514.3
Blue102
153339.6
572733.3
1058317.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059340608012014016095102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +19
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
75Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
95Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.0
43.843.7
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
red by 3.2
39.60.3
39.539.7
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
Second
37.20.0
38.238.1
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 3.9
5727
#12
33.30.3
33.233.5
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
Third
4935
#16
14.30.0
15.315.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
blue by 3.5
17.80.3
17.617.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1