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Red138
479543.3
929814.4
58745.9
Blue73
486123.3
264021.5
650235.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111845010015020013873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+57Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +46
23Coral scored#13
81Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
103Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#5
9L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +65
8Foul points0
138Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.90.6
45.245.9
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 10.0
6502
#17
35.90.2
36.035.9
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
Second
43.30.6
42.743.3
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
red by 20.0
4861
#16
23.30.2
23.523.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
Third
9298
#29
14.40.6
13.814.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 7.1
2640
#10
21.50.2
21.721.5
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End2.6