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Red137
479543.3
929814.4
58745.9
Blue91
486123.3
264021.5
650235.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098420406010012014016018013791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+52Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +41
23Coral scored#12
83Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
101Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#3
9L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
137Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.90.8
44.445.2
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 10.0
6502
#17
35.90.2
35.836.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
Second
43.30.8
41.942.7
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
red by 20.0
4861
#16
23.30.2
23.323.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
Third
9298
#29
14.40.8
12.913.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 7.1
2640
#10
21.50.2
21.421.7
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End2.6