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Red112
486123.3
264021.5
650235.9
Blue67
482828.9
776327.0
663919.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8481406010012014016011267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+31Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
6Processor points6
28Net points8
34Algae points14
73Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
112Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#17
35.90.6
35.235.8
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
red by 6.9
28.90.2
29.128.9
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
Second
4861
#16
23.30.6
22.623.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
blue by 3.7
27.00.2
27.227.0
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End1.8
Third
2640
#10
21.50.6
20.821.4
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End2.6
red by 2.1
6639
#18
19.40.2
19.619.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5