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Red89
482828.9
776327.0
663919.4
Blue66
153332.7
650029.2
875717.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818740601001208966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
55Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +23
12Foul points0
89Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.0
29.229.1
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
blue by 3.8
32.70.4
33.032.7
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
Second
27.00.0
27.327.2
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End1.8
blue by 2.2
29.20.4
29.629.2
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Third
6639
#18
19.40.0
19.619.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
red by 2.3
8757
#23
17.00.4
17.417.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End2.7