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Red123
479543.3
929814.4
58745.9
Blue91
486123.3
264021.5
650235.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098120406010012014016018012391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+30Teleop
+20Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +19
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
75Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +32
12Foul points0
123Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.90.3
44.144.4
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 10.0
6502
#17
35.90.3
34.935.2
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
Second
43.30.3
41.641.9
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
red by 20.0
4861
#16
23.30.3
22.422.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
Third
9298
#29
14.40.3
12.712.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 7.1
2640
#10
21.50.3
20.520.8
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End2.6