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Red58
482923.7
68887.2
842925.3
Blue110
482828.9
776327.0
663919.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5379020406010012058110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
38Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#7
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
58Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.4
blue by 3.6
28.90.7
28.529.2
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
Second
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
blue by 3.3
27.00.7
26.627.3
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End1.8
Third
6888
#30
7.20.0
7.27.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 12.2
6639
#18
19.40.7
19.019.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5