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Red91
153332.7
650029.2
875717.0
Blue81
456134.4
1010710.6
872732.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89840501001509181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
62Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
91Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.1
32.933.0
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
blue by 1.8
34.40.1
34.334.4
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
Second
29.20.1
29.429.6
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
blue by 3.5
8727
#12
32.70.1
32.632.7
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Third
8757
#23
17.00.1
17.317.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End2.7
red by 6.5
10.60.1
10.510.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8