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Red64
482828.9
1010710.6
456134.4
Blue51
600424.4
976211.1
80908.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7739020601001206451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+7Teleop
+3Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
9Coral scored#5
31Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
6Processor points0
0Net points12
6Algae points12
37Total teleop31
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
12Foul points2
64Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.6
27.325.7
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
red by 10.1
6004
#14
24.41.0
17.718.8
Auto4.6
Teleop18.1
End1.7
Second
28.91.6
24.122.5
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 17.8
11.11.0
9.810.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
10.61.6
15.013.4
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
red by 1.9
8090
#25
8.61.0
12.113.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed