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Red60
482923.7
960516.2
663919.4
Blue33
789028.7
90058.4
872732.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647820401001201406033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
50Total teleop18
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
60Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.4
24.925.4
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
blue by 9.0
8727
#12
32.73.9
24.921.1
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Second
6639
#18
19.40.4
20.521.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 9.3
7890
#20
28.73.9
27.123.2
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
Third
9605
#15
16.20.4
10.511.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 7.9
9005
#28
8.43.9
15.711.8
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed