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Red70
650029.2
482923.7
479543.3
Blue62
482828.9
960714.1
915020.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89530204060801001201407062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
50Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
70Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.8
28.828.0
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
red by 14.4
28.90.8
22.523.3
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
Second
29.20.8
22.822.0
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
red by 9.1
9150
#19
20.10.8
16.116.9
Auto1.9
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
23.70.8
25.424.6
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
red by 9.6
9607
#27
14.10.8
13.214.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed