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Qual 182025 FNC District Catawba County Event
Red48
368010.8
153332.7
960516.2
Blue62
872732.7
95596.2
122516.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664202060801001204862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
30Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points14
48Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#7
32.71.7
31.0→29.3
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
Level
8727
#12
32.70.8
21.1→21.8
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Second
9605
#15
16.21.7
11.0→9.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 0.6
1225
#13
16.80.8
8.9→9.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Third
3680
#21
10.81.7
15.2→13.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End0.1
red by 4.6
9559
#26
6.20.8
11.2→12.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed