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Red84
95596.2
479543.3
789028.7
Blue109
482923.7
58745.9
624214.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678020406010012084109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +41
12Coral scored#21
42Coral points77
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
52Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points8
84Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.7
28.029.8
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
blue by 2.5
587
#11
45.92.1
31.833.9
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
7890
#20
28.71.7
22.324.1
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
red by 5.0
23.72.1
24.626.8
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Third
9559
#26
6.21.7
12.013.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 7.8
6242
#22
14.02.1
14.116.2
Auto0.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed