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Red58
122516.8
960516.2
482828.9
Blue49
90058.4
663919.4
960714.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484935404555605849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
5Coral scored#5
19Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
37Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
8Foul points6
58Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.0
23.323.3
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 9.5
6639
#18
19.41.0
18.117.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Second
1225
#13
16.80.0
9.79.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 2.7
9607
#27
14.11.0
14.013.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Third
9605
#15
16.20.0
9.39.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 7.9
9005
#28
8.41.0
10.69.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned