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Red28
68887.2
80908.6
663919.4
Blue77
960516.2
153332.7
842925.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357002060801002877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +33
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
21Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points6
28Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6639
#18
19.41.2
17.115.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 13.3
32.71.1
31.032.0
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
Second
8090
#25
8.61.2
12.010.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 16.7
25.31.1
21.022.1
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.4
Third
6888
#30
7.21.2
9.48.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 9.0
9605
#15
16.21.1
9.310.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned