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Red59
482923.7
264021.5
929814.4
Blue65
456134.4
960714.1
368010.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546402040801001205965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
40Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points0
59Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
26.826.6
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
blue by 10.7
34.40.0
28.728.7
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
Second
2640
#10
21.50.2
13.012.8
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End2.6
red by 7.4
9607
#27
14.10.0
13.013.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Third
9298
#29
14.40.2
9.18.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
red by 3.6
3680
#21
10.80.0
14.614.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed