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Red100
915020.1
600424.4
650029.2
Blue97
872732.7
58745.9
122516.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677920406010012014010097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
75Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
100Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.24.0
23.127.1
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
blue by 16.7
587
#11
45.92.5
35.438.0
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
6004
#14
24.44.0
19.323.3
Auto4.6
Teleop18.1
End1.7
blue by 8.3
8727
#12
32.72.5
25.327.9
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Third
9150
#19
20.14.0
21.625.6
Auto1.9
Teleop16.3
End1.9
red by 3.3
1225
#13
16.82.5
10.613.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed