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Red55
600424.4
650235.9
624214.0
Blue60
650029.2
976211.1
368010.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766320401001205560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+7Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#4
28Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
38Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points6
55Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#17
35.92.1
25.923.9
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
red by 6.7
29.20.9
24.023.1
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Second
6004
#14
24.42.1
22.120.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.1
End1.7
red by 13.3
11.10.9
14.013.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
6242
#22
14.05.4
21.115.7
Auto0.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
red by 3.1
3680
#21
10.80.9
18.817.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned