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Red62
663919.4
842925.3
122516.8
Blue34
875717.0
960714.1
1010710.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745701001506234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+32Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
54Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
62Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.0
24.123.1
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.4
red by 8.3
8757
#23
17.02.9
17.914.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Second
6639
#18
19.41.0
23.122.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
red by 5.2
9607
#27
14.12.9
15.712.8
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Third
1225
#13
16.81.0
15.714.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 6.2
10.63.6
18.414.9
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed