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Red38
872732.7
929814.4
915020.1
Blue63
789028.7
960516.2
776327.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73812040601001201403863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points34
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
29Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points6
38Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#12
32.73.9
31.127.2
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End2.0
red by 4.0
7890
#20
28.72.4
25.923.5
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
Second
9150
#19
20.13.9
16.412.5
Auto1.9
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 6.9
27.02.4
29.026.6
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End1.8
Third
9298
#29
14.43.9
17.313.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 1.8
9605
#15
16.22.4
15.112.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed