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Red64
95596.2
456134.4
479543.3
Blue22
976211.1
264021.5
90058.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8647020601001201401606422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+44Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +38
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
47Total teleop9
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points6
64Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.7
30.528.7
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
red by 21.8
2640
#10
21.53.3
13.710.4
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
34.41.7
29.027.3
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
red by 23.4
11.13.3
13.19.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
9559
#26
6.21.7
14.012.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 2.2
9005
#28
8.43.3
19.015.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed