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Red64
1010710.6
650235.9
482828.9
Blue4
875717.0
68887.2
122516.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75510204060100120140644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+58Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +49
10Coral scored#0
35Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
49Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#0
3L3#0
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#0
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
64Total score4

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#17
35.90.2
23.924.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
red by 18.8
8757
#23
17.04.5
14.910.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Second
28.90.2
23.924.1
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 12.1
1225
#13
16.84.5
14.710.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Third
10.60.2
14.915.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
red by 3.3
6888
#30
7.24.5
15.210.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed